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Suburb Insights · NSW 2319

Lemon Tree Passage, NSW 2319 Property Profile

ABS 2021 Census · Updated 21 May 2026

Suburb Overview

Lemon Tree Passage is a regional centre in New South Wales, Australia, with a population of approximately 2,686, making it a boutique locality. Located approximately 148 km from the Sydney CBD, Lemon Tree Passage is a regional area in New South Wales. The median household income is $55,692 per year.

Investment Score

26 / 100 Weak

Household earnings in Lemon Tree Passage are below the state average, which may affect long-term capital growth. Regional positioning means lower entry costs but potentially longer hold periods for capital gains.

Location

Sydney
Lemon Tree Passage
New South Wales · 2319
148 km from Sydney CBD
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Key Indicators

Postcode
2319

Official Australia Post postcode for Lemon Tree Passage. A postcode may cover multiple suburbs.

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Population
2,686

Usual resident population at the most recent census.

Median weekly rent
$365/wk

Weekly median rent for occupied homes. Live rental data integration coming soon.

Median household income
$55,692/yr

Annual median household income (before tax) across all households.

Distance to CBD
148 km

Straight-line distance from the suburb centroid to the nearest capital city CBD. Actual driving distance will be longer.

Lifestyle & Amenities

Schools nearby
1

Estimated 1 school within or near this suburb.

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Parks & green spaces
1

Estimated 1 park and green spaces near this suburb.

Median monthly mortgage
$1,600/mo

Monthly median mortgage repayment for households currently paying off a mortgage.

Home type
77% houses

Proportion of separate houses versus units, townhouses, and other home types. Useful for investors assessing rental demand mix.

Why People Like Living in Lemon Tree Passage

Who Lemon Tree Passage Suits

👨‍👩‍👧FamiliesSchool count or dwelling mix is lighter here.
📊InvestorsRent covers a solid share of the median mortgage.
🏡First-home buyersEntry costs sit at or below the New South Wales median.
💼ProfessionalsLonger commute to the CBD.

Pros and Cons

Pros

  • Mortgage costs are lower than the New South Wales median, improving cash-flow margins.
  • Lower purchase prices and more land for the money.
  • Established infrastructure and existing community base.

Cons

  • Rent-to-income ratio is above comfortable thresholds — watch tenant affordability.
  • Long distance to the CBD (148 km) — plan for commute time or local employment.
  • Transport options are limited — car dependency is likely.
  • Fewer schools inside the suburb itself — verify catchments for neighbouring areas.

Investment Insight

Lemon Tree Passage is a smaller community of 2,686 — about 50% of the New South Wales suburb median (5,325) — so investors should factor in the narrower buyer pool and longer average time-on-market. Lemon Tree Passage's median household income of $55,692/year is 43% below the New South Wales suburb median ($97,552) — this is an affordability play where returns lean on yield and patient capital growth rather than demographic premium. Median weekly rent of $365 equates to $1,582/month — about 99% of the median mortgage repayment of $1,600/month — meaning rental income covers most of a typical owner's repayment and this is a genuine cash-flow suburb before tax benefits. Lemon Tree Passage is 148 km from Sydney, so the local market tracks regional employment and lifestyle drivers more than CBD-driven commuter demand.

Investment Tip

This suburb suits yield-focused investors who are comfortable with lower liquidity. Employment concentration and local population trends matter more here than in metro markets. Local rents consume roughly 34% of household income — a useful sanity check on tenant affordability.

Lemon Tree Passage vs New South Wales Median

How Lemon Tree Passage stacks up against the median of all New South Wales suburbs in our dataset. Positive values mean Lemon Tree Passage sits above the state median; negative means below.

MetricLemon Tree PassageNSW medianΔ vs state
Population2,6865,325-50%
Median household income$55,692/yr$97,552/yr-43%
Median rent (weekly)$365$430-15%
Median mortgage (monthly)$1,600$2,167-26%
Distance to CBD148 km45 km+229%
Separate houses77%76%+1pp

Investor Checklist

Pre-inspection briefing for Lemon Tree Passage — every item is derived from public datasets, with full citations in our data sources page.

Investment Strategy

Buy & Hold

Limited buy-and-hold upside: a small population of 2,686 means liquidity is thin and capital growth tends to lag the wider New South Wales market over full cycles.

Rental Yield

Strong rental coverage: $365/week (~$1,582/month) covers 99% of the $1,600/month median mortgage repayment, so the shortfall sits at just $18/month. Investors targeting positive cash flow should shortlist this suburb.

⚠️
Renovation / Flip

With 77% houses in a 2,686-person market, renovation margins depend on individual street and aspect rather than any suburb-wide story — do comparable-sales analysis before committing capital.

Risk Factors

Run the numbers on a Lemon Tree Passage property

Full Property Analysis

30-year projections for Lemon Tree Passage

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2026 Outlook

Growth: Low Rental Demand: Low Investor Sentiment: Low

Capital-growth expectations for Lemon Tree Passage are modest for 2026 — incomes 43% below the NSW median of $97,552 and a population of 2,686 suggest gains will lag headline metro markets. Rental coverage runs at ~99% of the typical mortgage ($1,582/month rent vs $1,600/month repayment), keeping cash flow in positive or near-neutral territory. The EquitySight investment score of 26/100 places Lemon Tree Passage in the lower tier of Australian suburbs we profile, and overall investor sentiment is cautious heading into the second half of 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lemon Tree Passage a good suburb for investment?

Lemon Tree Passage scores 26/100 on our EquitySight investment framework — a weak rating. That score is driven by a population of 2,686, median household income of $55,692/year and median weekly rent of $365. Whether it fits your portfolio depends on whether you are targeting cash flow, capital growth, or a value-add renovation — all three are scored with suburb-specific numbers elsewhere on this page.

What drives property demand in Lemon Tree Passage?

The main demand drivers in Lemon Tree Passage are a median household income of $55,692/year, a dwelling mix that is 77% separate houses, roughly 1 schools and 1 parks within the catchment. Together these shape both owner-occupier and tenant demand and are the factors we weight most heavily in the suburb's investment score.

What is the population of Lemon Tree Passage?

Lemon Tree Passage has a usual resident population of approximately 2,686, compared with a New South Wales suburb median of 5,325 — placing it in the lower half of the state's suburbs by size. Population is the clearest proxy for market depth: more residents mean more transactions and typically a shorter average days-on-market on resale.

How far is Lemon Tree Passage from the Sydney CBD?

Lemon Tree Passage sits 148 km straight-line from the Sydney CBD. This is a regional market where CBD distance is only indicative — local industry diversity and commute alternatives matter more.

What is the median rent in Lemon Tree Passage?

The most recent census recorded a median weekly rent of $365 in Lemon Tree Passage, equating to approximately $18,980/year in gross rental income (state median $430/week). Market rents have typically drifted above the recorded figure — verify against current listings on realestate.com.au and Domain before making an offer.

What is the typical mortgage repayment in Lemon Tree Passage?

The median monthly mortgage repayment in Lemon Tree Passage is $1,600, or approximately $19,200/year (vs $2,167/month state median). Stress-test your own borrowing at rates 1–2 percentage points above today's to make sure you can still service the loan through an RBA tightening cycle.

Is Lemon Tree Passage cash-flow positive for investors?

A median weekly rent of $365 works out to $1,582/month, covering 99% of the median mortgage repayment of $1,600/month. That leaves a $18/month shortfall (around $216/year before tax benefits), so a typical owner-occupier-priced property here is negatively geared. Actual cash flow depends on your deposit, loan terms, ownership costs and marginal tax rate — run the full numbers in our rental yield calculator.

What are the main risks of investing in Lemon Tree Passage?

The main risks are a thin buyer pool (2,686 residents), interest-rate sensitivity on the $1,600 median mortgage, below-median household incomes ($55,692 vs $97,552 state median), the broader New South Wales market cycle. Each of these is covered in the Risk Factors section above with suburb-specific numbers rather than generic warnings.

How we built this Lemon Tree Passage profile

Every number on this page comes from the ABS 2021 Census of Population and Housing, Australia Post postcode reference data, and OpenStreetMap amenity tiles. The investment score, strategy verdicts, and comparison table are computed deterministically from those inputs — no opinion, no estimation. See our full methodology and the data sources and licences for the formulas we use.

Nearby Suburbs

New South Wales Property Resources