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ABS 2021 Census · Updated 21 May 2026
Morning Bay is a well-established middle-ring suburb of Sydney, Australia, with a population of approximately 31, making it a boutique locality. Located approximately 28 km from the Sydney CBD, Morning Bay is a middle ring area in New South Wales. The median household income is $93,132 per year.
Above-average earnings in Morning Bay support sustained property values.
Official Australia Post postcode for Morning Bay. A postcode may cover multiple suburbs.
Australia Post Postcode Finder →Usual resident population at the most recent census.
Weekly median rent for occupied homes. Live rental data integration coming soon.
Annual median household income (before tax) across all households.
Straight-line distance from the suburb centroid to the nearest capital city CBD. Actual driving distance will be longer.
Estimated 1 school within or near this suburb.
Find schools near Morning Bay on My School →Estimated 1 park and green spaces near this suburb.
Monthly median mortgage repayment for households currently paying off a mortgage.
Proportion of separate houses versus units, townhouses, and other home types. Useful for investors assessing rental demand mix.
Morning Bay is a smaller community of 31 — about 1% of the New South Wales suburb median (5,325) — so investors should factor in the narrower buyer pool and longer average time-on-market. At $93,132/year, household income in Morning Bay is within 5% of the New South Wales median ($97,552), placing the suburb firmly in the state's mainstream demographic band. Weekly rent of $215 covers just 28% of the median $3,300/month mortgage repayment, leaving a $2,368/month gap — investors should only pursue this suburb with a clear capital-growth thesis and sufficient external income to fund the shortfall. At 28 km from Sydney, Morning Bay is an outer-metro location where buyers are typically trading commute time for floor space and a lower entry price. Only 28% of dwellings are separate houses (vs 76% state median), so this is a unit-heavy market where body-corporate decisions and strata supply meaningfully shape investor returns.
How Morning Bay stacks up against the median of all New South Wales suburbs in our dataset. Positive values mean Morning Bay sits above the state median; negative means below.
| Metric | Morning Bay | NSW median | Δ vs state |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 31 | 5,325 | -99% |
| Median household income | $93,132/yr | $97,552/yr | -5% |
| Median rent (weekly) | $215 | $430 | -50% |
| Median mortgage (monthly) | $3,300 | $2,167 | +52% |
| Distance to CBD | 28 km | 45 km | -38% |
| Separate houses | 28% | 76% | -48pp |
Pre-inspection briefing for Morning Bay — every item is derived from public datasets, with full citations in our data sources page.
Limited buy-and-hold upside: a small population of 31 means liquidity is thin and capital growth tends to lag the wider New South Wales market over full cycles.
Weak cash flow: $215/week rent covers only 28% of the $3,300/month median mortgage — a $2,368/month gap that must be funded from other income. This suburb is a capital-growth play, not a yield play.
Only 28% of dwellings are separate houses (vs 76% NSW median) — this is a unit and townhouse market, where cosmetic flips struggle against body-corporate restrictions, thinner after-reno uplift and competing new supply.
Run the numbers on a Morning Bay property
Scenario comparison, cash flow analysis, tax modelling, and PDF export — all in one place.
Create free account →Capital-growth expectations for Morning Bay are modest for 2026 — incomes 5% below the NSW median of $97,552 and a population of 31 suggest gains will lag headline metro markets. Rental coverage runs at ~28% of the typical mortgage ($932/month rent vs $3,300/month repayment), meaning investors will rely on capital growth rather than yield. The EquitySight investment score of 58/100 places Morning Bay in the mid tier of Australian suburbs we profile, and overall investor sentiment is balanced heading into the second half of 2026.
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Morning Bay scores 58/100 on our EquitySight investment framework — a moderate rating. That score is driven by a population of 31, median household income of $93,132/year and median weekly rent of $215. Whether it fits your portfolio depends on whether you are targeting cash flow, capital growth, or a value-add renovation — all three are scored with suburb-specific numbers elsewhere on this page.
The main demand drivers in Morning Bay are a median household income of $93,132/year, a dwelling mix that is 28% separate houses, roughly 1 schools and 1 parks within the catchment. Together these shape both owner-occupier and tenant demand and are the factors we weight most heavily in the suburb's investment score.
Morning Bay has a usual resident population of approximately 31, compared with a New South Wales suburb median of 5,325 — placing it in the lower half of the state's suburbs by size. Population is the clearest proxy for market depth: more residents mean more transactions and typically a shorter average days-on-market on resale.
Morning Bay sits 28 km straight-line from the Sydney CBD. This is an outer-metro location; local employment and infrastructure announcements tend to move prices more than CBD connectivity alone.
The most recent census recorded a median weekly rent of $215 in Morning Bay, equating to approximately $11,180/year in gross rental income (state median $430/week). Market rents have typically drifted above the recorded figure — verify against current listings on realestate.com.au and Domain before making an offer.
The median monthly mortgage repayment in Morning Bay is $3,300, or approximately $39,600/year (vs $2,167/month state median). Stress-test your own borrowing at rates 1–2 percentage points above today's to make sure you can still service the loan through an RBA tightening cycle.
A median weekly rent of $215 works out to $932/month, covering 28% of the median mortgage repayment of $3,300/month. That leaves a $2,368/month shortfall (around $28,416/year before tax benefits), so a typical owner-occupier-priced property here is negatively geared. Actual cash flow depends on your deposit, loan terms, ownership costs and marginal tax rate — run the full numbers in our rental yield calculator.
The main risks are a thin buyer pool (31 residents), interest-rate sensitivity on the $3,300 median mortgage, a unit-heavy dwelling mix (28% houses) where body-corporate costs and apartment supply affect resale, the broader New South Wales market cycle. Each of these is covered in the Risk Factors section above with suburb-specific numbers rather than generic warnings.
Every number on this page comes from the ABS 2021 Census of Population and Housing, Australia Post postcode reference data, and OpenStreetMap amenity tiles. The investment score, strategy verdicts, and comparison table are computed deterministically from those inputs — no opinion, no estimation. See our full methodology and the data sources and licences for the formulas we use.