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Suburb Insights · QLD 4306

Karana Downs, QLD 4306 Property Profile

ABS 2021 Census · Updated 21 May 2026

Suburb Overview

Karana Downs is an outer-metropolitan suburb of Brisbane, Australia, with a population of approximately 3,800, making it a boutique locality. Located approximately 22 km from the Brisbane CBD, Karana Downs is a outer metro area in Queensland. The median household income is $117,260 per year.

Investment Score

75 / 100 Good

Above-average earnings in Karana Downs support sustained property values.

Location

Brisbane
Karana Downs
Queensland · 4306
22 km from Brisbane CBD
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Key Indicators

Postcode
4306

Official Australia Post postcode for Karana Downs. A postcode may cover multiple suburbs.

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Population
3,800

Usual resident population at the most recent census.

Median weekly rent
$400/wk

Weekly median rent for occupied homes. Live rental data integration coming soon.

Median household income
$117,260/yr

Annual median household income (before tax) across all households.

Distance to CBD
22 km

Straight-line distance from the suburb centroid to the nearest capital city CBD. Actual driving distance will be longer.

Lifestyle & Amenities

Schools nearby
1

Estimated 1 school within or near this suburb.

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Parks & green spaces
2

Estimated 2 parks and green spaces near this suburb.

Median monthly mortgage
$1,800/mo

Monthly median mortgage repayment for households currently paying off a mortgage.

Home type
90% houses

Proportion of separate houses versus units, townhouses, and other home types. Useful for investors assessing rental demand mix.

Why People Like Living in Karana Downs

Who Karana Downs Suits

👨‍👩‍👧FamiliesSchool count or dwelling mix is lighter here.
📊InvestorsRent covers a solid share of the median mortgage.
🏡First-home buyersPrices sit above the Queensland median — stretch goal.
💼ProfessionalsAround 22 km from the CBD with good access.

Pros and Cons

Pros

  • Rent sits within an affordable share of local incomes, supporting tenant demand.
  • Solid transport links into employment hubs.
  • Affordable entry point compared with inner-city suburbs.

Cons

  • New-estate oversupply risk — many similar homes can compete for the same buyers.
  • Fewer schools inside the suburb itself — verify catchments for neighbouring areas.

Investment Insight

Karana Downs is a smaller community of 3,800 — about 69% of the Queensland suburb median (5,474) — so investors should factor in the narrower buyer pool and longer average time-on-market. Median household income of $117,260/year runs 30% above the Queensland suburb median of $90,298, indicating strong purchasing power and the type of demographic profile that tends to sustain premium property prices through market cycles. Median weekly rent of $400 equates to $1,733/month — about 96% of the median mortgage repayment of $1,800/month — meaning rental income covers most of a typical owner's repayment and this is a genuine cash-flow suburb before tax benefits. 22 km from Brisbane places Karana Downs in the middle commuter belt, close enough for daily trips by car or rail but at a materially lower price point than inner suburbs.

Investment Tip

Outer-metro suburbs reward careful property selection — aim for homes near infrastructure rather than generic house-and-land packages. Local rents consume roughly 18% of household income — a useful sanity check on tenant affordability.

Karana Downs vs Queensland Median

How Karana Downs stacks up against the median of all Queensland suburbs in our dataset. Positive values mean Karana Downs sits above the state median; negative means below.

MetricKarana DownsQLD medianΔ vs state
Population3,8005,474-31%
Median household income$117,260/yr$90,298/yr+30%
Median rent (weekly)$400$385+4%
Median mortgage (monthly)$1,800$1,733+4%
Distance to CBD22 km62 km-65%
Separate houses90%77%+13pp

Investor Checklist

Pre-inspection briefing for Karana Downs — every item is derived from public datasets, with full citations in our data sources page.

Investment Strategy

Buy & Hold

Strong buy-and-hold fundamentals: household incomes run 30% above the Queensland suburb median ($117,260 vs $90,298), and the 22 km CBD distance keeps this suburb in the primary demand zone. In Queensland, suburbs with this profile have historically clustered in the upper tercile of 10-year capital growth.

Rental Yield

Strong rental coverage: $400/week (~$1,733/month) covers 96% of the $1,800/month median mortgage repayment, so the shortfall sits at just $67/month. Investors targeting positive cash flow should shortlist this suburb.

⚠️
Renovation / Flip

With 90% houses in a 3,800-person market, renovation margins depend on individual street and aspect rather than any suburb-wide story — do comparable-sales analysis before committing capital.

Risk Factors

Run the numbers on a Karana Downs property

Full Property Analysis

30-year projections for Karana Downs

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2026 Outlook

Growth: Strong Rental Demand: Low Investor Sentiment: Strong

Karana Downs enters 2026 with a demographic tailwind — household incomes 30% above the Queensland suburb median of $90,298 and a population of 3,800 give it the depth and purchasing power to outperform the wider QLD market over the next 12–18 months. Rental coverage runs at ~96% of the typical mortgage ($1,733/month rent vs $1,800/month repayment), keeping cash flow in positive or near-neutral territory. The EquitySight investment score of 75/100 places Karana Downs in the upper-middle tier of Australian suburbs we profile, and overall investor sentiment is constructive heading into the second half of 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Karana Downs a good suburb for investment?

Karana Downs scores 75/100 on our EquitySight investment framework — a good rating. That score is driven by a population of 3,800, median household income of $117,260/year and median weekly rent of $400. Whether it fits your portfolio depends on whether you are targeting cash flow, capital growth, or a value-add renovation — all three are scored with suburb-specific numbers elsewhere on this page.

What drives property demand in Karana Downs?

The main demand drivers in Karana Downs are proximity to Brisbane (22 km), an above-state-median household income of $117,260/year, a dwelling mix that is 90% separate houses, roughly 1 schools and 2 parks within the catchment. Together these shape both owner-occupier and tenant demand and are the factors we weight most heavily in the suburb's investment score.

What is the population of Karana Downs?

Karana Downs has a usual resident population of approximately 3,800, compared with a Queensland suburb median of 5,474 — placing it in the lower half of the state's suburbs by size. Population is the clearest proxy for market depth: more residents mean more transactions and typically a shorter average days-on-market on resale.

How far is Karana Downs from the Brisbane CBD?

Karana Downs sits 22 km straight-line from the Brisbane CBD. This is comfortable commuter territory, with reasonable rail and road access to the city.

What is the median rent in Karana Downs?

The most recent census recorded a median weekly rent of $400 in Karana Downs, equating to approximately $20,800/year in gross rental income (state median $385/week). Market rents have typically drifted above the recorded figure — verify against current listings on realestate.com.au and Domain before making an offer.

What is the typical mortgage repayment in Karana Downs?

The median monthly mortgage repayment in Karana Downs is $1,800, or approximately $21,600/year (vs $1,733/month state median). Stress-test your own borrowing at rates 1–2 percentage points above today's to make sure you can still service the loan through an RBA tightening cycle.

Is Karana Downs cash-flow positive for investors?

A median weekly rent of $400 works out to $1,733/month, covering 96% of the median mortgage repayment of $1,800/month. That leaves a $67/month shortfall (around $804/year before tax benefits), so a typical owner-occupier-priced property here is negatively geared. Actual cash flow depends on your deposit, loan terms, ownership costs and marginal tax rate — run the full numbers in our rental yield calculator.

What are the main risks of investing in Karana Downs?

The main risks are a thin buyer pool (3,800 residents), interest-rate sensitivity on the $1,800 median mortgage, the broader Queensland market cycle. Each of these is covered in the Risk Factors section above with suburb-specific numbers rather than generic warnings.

How we built this Karana Downs profile

Every number on this page comes from the ABS 2021 Census of Population and Housing, Australia Post postcode reference data, and OpenStreetMap amenity tiles. The investment score, strategy verdicts, and comparison table are computed deterministically from those inputs — no opinion, no estimation. See our full methodology and the data sources and licences for the formulas we use.

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Queensland Property Resources