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Suburb Insights · VIC 3053

Carlton, VIC 3053 Property Profile

ABS 2021 Census · Updated 21 May 2026

Suburb Overview

Carlton is a well-established middle-ring suburb of Melbourne, Australia, with a population of approximately 16,055, making it a smaller community. Located 2 km from the Melbourne CBD, Carlton is a middle ring area in Victoria. The median household income is $67,184 per year.

Investment Score

63 / 100 Good

Carlton's income profile suggests a value-oriented market with competitive purchase prices. Its proximity to the CBD adds a strong location premium.

Location

Melbourne
Carlton
Victoria · 3053
2 km from Melbourne CBD
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Key Indicators

Postcode
3053

Official Australia Post postcode for Carlton. A postcode may cover multiple suburbs.

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Population
16,055

Usual resident population at the most recent census.

Median weekly rent
$365/wk

Weekly median rent for occupied homes. Live rental data integration coming soon.

Median household income
$67,184/yr

Annual median household income (before tax) across all households.

Distance to CBD
2 km

Straight-line distance from the suburb centroid to the nearest capital city CBD. Actual driving distance will be longer.

Lifestyle & Amenities

Schools nearby
4

Estimated 4 schools within or near this suburb.

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Parks & green spaces
6

Estimated 6 parks and green spaces near this suburb.

Median monthly mortgage
$1,898/mo

Monthly median mortgage repayment for households currently paying off a mortgage.

Home type
1% houses

Proportion of separate houses versus units, townhouses, and other home types. Useful for investors assessing rental demand mix.

Why People Like Living in Carlton

Who Carlton Suits

👨‍👩‍👧FamiliesSchool count or dwelling mix is lighter here.
📊InvestorsRent covers a solid share of the median mortgage.
🏡First-home buyersEntry costs sit at or below the Victoria median.
💼ProfessionalsAround 2 km from the CBD with good access.

Pros and Cons

Pros

  • Mortgage costs are lower than the Victoria median, improving cash-flow margins.
  • Access to several schools nearby (around 4).
  • Local parks and reserves (around 6) add to liveability.
  • Solid transport links into employment hubs.
  • Short distance to the CBD makes commuting straightforward.

Cons

  • Traffic can build during peak hours, especially on arterial roads.
  • Prices may rise further as demand continues.

Investment Insight

With 16,055 residents, Carlton is one of Victoria's more populous suburbs — roughly 2.2× the state median of 7,416 — giving it a deep buyer and tenant pool that typically supports higher transaction volumes and shorter average days on market. Carlton's median household income of $67,184/year is 29% below the Victoria suburb median ($95,160) — this is an affordability play where returns lean on yield and patient capital growth rather than demographic premium. Rent of $365/week (83% coverage of the $1,898/month median mortgage) leaves a gap of roughly $316/month that a typical investor bridges with negative gearing, depreciation and capital growth. At 2 km from the Melbourne CBD, Carlton sits inside the high-demand inner ring — properties here compete directly with the city's employment, transport and amenity networks. Only 1% of dwellings are separate houses (vs 78% state median), so this is a unit-heavy market where body-corporate decisions and strata supply meaningfully shape investor returns.

Investment Tip

This suburb suits long-term investors looking for a balance of rental yield and capital growth. Schools and transport underpin family demand. Local rents consume roughly 28% of household income — a useful sanity check on tenant affordability.

Carlton vs Victoria Median

How Carlton stacks up against the median of all Victoria suburbs in our dataset. Positive values mean Carlton sits above the state median; negative means below.

MetricCarltonVIC medianΔ vs state
Population16,0557,416+116%
Median household income$67,184/yr$95,160/yr-29%
Median rent (weekly)$365$380-4%
Median mortgage (monthly)$1,898$1,950-3%
Distance to CBD2 km32 km-94%
Separate houses1%78%-77pp

Investor Checklist

Pre-inspection briefing for Carlton — every item is derived from public datasets, with full citations in our data sources page.

Investment Strategy

Buy & Hold

Limited buy-and-hold upside: household incomes 29% below the VIC median ($67,184 vs $95,160) means liquidity is thin and capital growth tends to lag the wider Victoria market over full cycles.

⚠️
Rental Yield

Moderate rental coverage: rent of $365/week covers 83% of a $1,898/month mortgage, leaving a $316/month gap that an investor bridges with equity, depreciation and tax benefits.

Renovation / Flip

Only 1% of dwellings are separate houses (vs 78% VIC median) — this is a unit and townhouse market, where cosmetic flips struggle against body-corporate restrictions, thinner after-reno uplift and competing new supply.

Risk Factors

Run the numbers on a Carlton property

Full Property Analysis

30-year projections for Carlton

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2026 Outlook

Growth: Low Rental Demand: Moderate Investor Sentiment: Moderate

Capital-growth expectations for Carlton are modest for 2026 — incomes 29% below the VIC median of $95,160 suggest gains will lag headline metro markets. Rental coverage runs at ~83% of the typical mortgage ($1,582/month rent vs $1,898/month repayment), keeping cash flow in positive or near-neutral territory. The EquitySight investment score of 63/100 places Carlton in the upper-middle tier of Australian suburbs we profile, and overall investor sentiment is balanced heading into the second half of 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carlton a good suburb for investment?

Carlton scores 63/100 on our EquitySight investment framework — a good rating. That score is driven by a population of 16,055, median household income of $67,184/year and median weekly rent of $365. Whether it fits your portfolio depends on whether you are targeting cash flow, capital growth, or a value-add renovation — all three are scored with suburb-specific numbers elsewhere on this page.

What drives property demand in Carlton?

The main demand drivers in Carlton are proximity to Melbourne (2 km), a median household income of $67,184/year, a dwelling mix that is 1% separate houses, roughly 4 schools and 6 parks within the catchment. Together these shape both owner-occupier and tenant demand and are the factors we weight most heavily in the suburb's investment score.

What is the population of Carlton?

Carlton has a usual resident population of approximately 16,055, compared with a Victoria suburb median of 7,416 — placing it in the upper half of the state's suburbs by size. Population is the clearest proxy for market depth: more residents mean more transactions and typically a shorter average days-on-market on resale.

How far is Carlton from the Melbourne CBD?

Carlton sits 2 km straight-line from the Melbourne CBD. This is inner-ring territory — pricing competes directly with established Melbourne employment nodes.

What is the median rent in Carlton?

The most recent census recorded a median weekly rent of $365 in Carlton, equating to approximately $18,980/year in gross rental income (state median $380/week). Market rents have typically drifted above the recorded figure — verify against current listings on realestate.com.au and Domain before making an offer.

What is the typical mortgage repayment in Carlton?

The median monthly mortgage repayment in Carlton is $1,898, or approximately $22,776/year (vs $1,950/month state median). Stress-test your own borrowing at rates 1–2 percentage points above today's to make sure you can still service the loan through an RBA tightening cycle.

Is Carlton cash-flow positive for investors?

A median weekly rent of $365 works out to $1,582/month, covering 83% of the median mortgage repayment of $1,898/month. That leaves a $316/month shortfall (around $3,792/year before tax benefits), so a typical owner-occupier-priced property here is negatively geared. Actual cash flow depends on your deposit, loan terms, ownership costs and marginal tax rate — run the full numbers in our rental yield calculator.

What are the main risks of investing in Carlton?

The main risks are interest-rate sensitivity on the $1,898 median mortgage, below-median household incomes ($67,184 vs $95,160 state median), a unit-heavy dwelling mix (1% houses) where body-corporate costs and apartment supply affect resale, the broader Victoria market cycle. Each of these is covered in the Risk Factors section above with suburb-specific numbers rather than generic warnings.

How we built this Carlton profile

Every number on this page comes from the ABS 2021 Census of Population and Housing, Australia Post postcode reference data, and OpenStreetMap amenity tiles. The investment score, strategy verdicts, and comparison table are computed deterministically from those inputs — no opinion, no estimation. See our full methodology and the data sources and licences for the formulas we use.

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