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ABS 2021 Census · Updated 21 May 2026
Nariel Valley is a regional centre in Victoria, Australia, with a population of approximately 87, making it a boutique locality. Located approximately 293 km from the Melbourne CBD, Nariel Valley is a regional area in Victoria. The median household income is $81,224 per year.
Moderate income levels in Nariel Valley indicate steady rental demand from working households. Regional positioning means lower entry costs but potentially longer hold periods for capital gains.
Official Australia Post postcode for Nariel Valley. A postcode may cover multiple suburbs.
Australia Post Postcode Finder →Usual resident population at the most recent census.
Weekly median rent for occupied homes. Live rental data integration coming soon.
Annual median household income (before tax) across all households.
Straight-line distance from the suburb centroid to the nearest capital city CBD. Actual driving distance will be longer.
Estimated 1 school within or near this suburb.
Find schools near Nariel Valley on My School →Estimated 1 park and green spaces near this suburb.
Monthly median mortgage repayment for households currently paying off a mortgage.
Proportion of separate houses versus units, townhouses, and other home types. Useful for investors assessing rental demand mix.
Nariel Valley is a smaller community of 87 — about 1% of the Victoria suburb median (7,416) — so investors should factor in the narrower buyer pool and longer average time-on-market. Household income of $81,224/year is 15% below the Victoria median of $95,160, typically translating into lower entry prices and a tenant base more sensitive to rent increases. Median weekly rent of $165 equates to $715/month — about 1021% of the median mortgage repayment of $70/month — meaning rental income covers most of a typical owner's repayment and this is a genuine cash-flow suburb before tax benefits. Nariel Valley is 293 km from Melbourne, so the local market tracks regional employment and lifestyle drivers more than CBD-driven commuter demand. Separate houses make up 100% of dwellings — 22 percentage points above the Victoria median of 78% — pointing to a family-oriented, land-rich market where value is concentrated in the underlying block.
How Nariel Valley stacks up against the median of all Victoria suburbs in our dataset. Positive values mean Nariel Valley sits above the state median; negative means below.
| Metric | Nariel Valley | VIC median | Δ vs state |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 87 | 7,416 | -99% |
| Median household income | $81,224/yr | $95,160/yr | -15% |
| Median rent (weekly) | $165 | $380 | -57% |
| Median mortgage (monthly) | $70 | $1,950 | -96% |
| Distance to CBD | 293 km | 32 km | +816% |
| Separate houses | 100% | 78% | +22pp |
Pre-inspection briefing for Nariel Valley — every item is derived from public datasets, with full citations in our data sources page.
Limited buy-and-hold upside: a small population of 87 means liquidity is thin and capital growth tends to lag the wider Victoria market over full cycles.
Strong rental coverage: $165/week (~$715/month) covers 1021% of the $70/month median mortgage repayment, so the shortfall sits at just $0/month. Investors targeting positive cash flow should shortlist this suburb.
With 100% houses in a 87-person market, renovation margins depend on individual street and aspect rather than any suburb-wide story — do comparable-sales analysis before committing capital.
Run the numbers on a Nariel Valley property
Scenario comparison, cash flow analysis, tax modelling, and PDF export — all in one place.
Create free account →Capital-growth expectations for Nariel Valley are modest for 2026 — incomes 15% below the VIC median of $95,160 and a population of 87 suggest gains will lag headline metro markets. Rental coverage runs at ~1021% of the typical mortgage ($715/month rent vs $70/month repayment), keeping cash flow in positive or near-neutral territory. The EquitySight investment score of 37/100 places Nariel Valley in the lower tier of Australian suburbs we profile, and overall investor sentiment is cautious heading into the second half of 2026.
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Nariel Valley scores 37/100 on our EquitySight investment framework — a weak rating. That score is driven by a population of 87, median household income of $81,224/year and median weekly rent of $165. Whether it fits your portfolio depends on whether you are targeting cash flow, capital growth, or a value-add renovation — all three are scored with suburb-specific numbers elsewhere on this page.
The main demand drivers in Nariel Valley are a median household income of $81,224/year, a dwelling mix that is 100% separate houses, roughly 1 schools and 1 parks within the catchment. Together these shape both owner-occupier and tenant demand and are the factors we weight most heavily in the suburb's investment score.
Nariel Valley has a usual resident population of approximately 87, compared with a Victoria suburb median of 7,416 — placing it in the lower half of the state's suburbs by size. Population is the clearest proxy for market depth: more residents mean more transactions and typically a shorter average days-on-market on resale.
Nariel Valley sits 293 km straight-line from the Melbourne CBD. This is a regional market where CBD distance is only indicative — local industry diversity and commute alternatives matter more.
The most recent census recorded a median weekly rent of $165 in Nariel Valley, equating to approximately $8,580/year in gross rental income (state median $380/week). Market rents have typically drifted above the recorded figure — verify against current listings on realestate.com.au and Domain before making an offer.
The median monthly mortgage repayment in Nariel Valley is $70, or approximately $840/year (vs $1,950/month state median). Stress-test your own borrowing at rates 1–2 percentage points above today's to make sure you can still service the loan through an RBA tightening cycle.
A median weekly rent of $165 works out to $715/month, covering 1021% of the median mortgage repayment of $70/month. That means rent exceeds the median repayment by roughly $645/month, so on these numbers Nariel Valley leans cash-flow-positive before accounting for strata, council rates, insurance and maintenance. Actual cash flow depends on your deposit, loan terms, ownership costs and marginal tax rate — run the full numbers in our rental yield calculator.
The main risks are a thin buyer pool (87 residents), interest-rate sensitivity on the $70 median mortgage, the broader Victoria market cycle. Each of these is covered in the Risk Factors section above with suburb-specific numbers rather than generic warnings.
Every number on this page comes from the ABS 2021 Census of Population and Housing, Australia Post postcode reference data, and OpenStreetMap amenity tiles. The investment score, strategy verdicts, and comparison table are computed deterministically from those inputs — no opinion, no estimation. See our full methodology and the data sources and licences for the formulas we use.